February 05, 2003

More on Adlai The Washington

More on Adlai

The Washington Post has a more sober analysis than the NYT (see below) drawing parallels between Powell's impending presentation to the UNSC council with Adlai Stevenson's admirably executed unmasking of Soviet lies. Veteran U.S. diplomat Thomas Pickering states the obvious point succinctly: "A lot is riding on Powell's presentation," says Thomas Pickering, who was ambassador to the United Nations during the run-up to the Persian Gulf War in 1991. The debate, he says, is likely to determine "the level of Security Council support for the use of U.S. force against Iraq."

The French, as they have desired throughout, will remain the pivotal player and milk more time under the bright klieg lights of international war and peace diplomacy. We might surmise that Blair yesterday, during the Anglo-French summit at Le Toquet, briefed Chirac on some of the compelling intelligence Powell is about to make public to the international community. I still predict that, post-Powell's presentation, the French shift gears. The story would then be less about Europe's division regarding Iraq than simply Germany's isolation on the issue. And with the unemployment rate there today ticking up to 10.4% the Chancellor's days are increasingly numbered.

Posted by Gregory at February 5, 2003 11:23 AM
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