February 14, 2003

Blix's Report Let me share

Blix's Report

Let me share a couple portions of Blix's report that go a long way towards showing what is wrong with the entire inspections process.

1) "While we were in Baghdad, we met a delegation from the government of South Africa. It was there to explain how South Africa gained the confidence of the world in its dismantling of the nuclear weapons program by a wholehearted cooperation over two years with IAEA inspectors. I have just learned that Iraq has accepted an offer by South Africa to send a group of experts for further talks."

Can anyone really take this seriously? Would any fair minded observer view this as anything but another P.R. stunt from the regime in Badhdad? We all know what the South African (or Kazakh or Ukranian) model to disarmament is. Simply lead the international agency to your weapons so that they can be destroyed/deactivated. It's really that simple. Saddam doesn't need any tutorial in how to achieve this.

2) "The number of Iraqi minders during inspections has often reached a ratio--had often reached a ratio as high as five per inspector. During the talks in January in Baghdad, the Iraqi side agreed to keep the ratio to about 1:1. The situation has improved."

This reminds me of the old Pat Moynihan article titled "defining deviancy down." Why would Saddam ever have had 5 minders per inspector if he doesn't have something to hide? More important, why should the foreign ministers around the UNSC table cheer because the ratio of minder to inspector has gone from 5:1 to "about" 1:1. It's not about the minders, Mr. Blix. It's about Iraqi government officials leading you to the WMD sites.

It remains manifestly clear that the Iraqi regime is in material breach of Resolution 1441. The U.S. and U.K. must begin to draft a resolution so declaring that reminds the international community that "serious consequences" are in the offing. Saddam must be given an ultimatum, say March 1st, by which he would need to perform a total about face and reveal the full scope of his WMD capability and begin to convincingly lead inspectors to all relevant sites so the WMD can be dismantled and destroyed. If, as expected, he does not change his policy of obstruction the U.S. must lead a coalition to forcefully disarm him--with or without a second resolution. He leaves us no choice.

Posted by Gregory at February 14, 2003 07:39 PM
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