June 11, 2003

Iran Nuke Watch Ze'ev Schiff

Iran Nuke Watch

Ze'ev Schiff has a round up of the current state of play between two of the main protagonists surrounding this difficult issue, ie. Iran and the U.S.

Key language: "Will Iran reach the conclusion that, after the occupation of Iraq, Washington has become more dangerous and, therefore, Tehran will now fear a U.S. response to the development of nuclear arms? Or will it think that nuclear arms would be the best deterrent against an American attack? There are Iranians who claim the United States is deterred because it attacked Iraq, which did not have nuclear weapons, but it is being more cautious with North Korea.

At this stage, there is a race underway between Iran and the United States on the nuclear issue. All signs point to Iran not diverting from its decision to develop nuclear weapons. It has between 18 months and two years to cross the point of no return and then a little while longer until it is manufacturing weapons at a reasonable rate. Iran's goal, therefore, is to create international foot-dragging on the issue, to gain time; to create the impression that there's room for negotiation and, at the same time, to accelerate the nuclear development."

UPDATE: Rumsfeld on Iran.

Posted by Gregory at June 11, 2003 11:47 AM
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